Prediction vs Result · TPA

Model vs Reality

Every public call PigeonRaceAnalyser makes — the predicted winning velocity, read off the live tool and posted before a single bird is in the air — set against the official winning velocity once the results are in. Hits and misses, on the record.

Calls on the record

<1.6%

Every call within

20 m/min

Average miss

30 / 1 198

Birds that beat the call

Honest note: both times the winner just edged the call — the model has been running a touch conservative, never over-promising.

The calls, on the record

TPA youngbird races, 2026 season. Predicted velocity from the live widget, verified against the official result.

TROMPSBURG → PRETORIA

TPA / TPALC · Sat 11 Jul 2026 · Lib 07:45 · 512–561 km · Neutral

We called

1 334

m/min

Actual winner

1 351

m/min

17 m/min off (1.3%) · called before the birds flew

Only 10 of 611 birds beat the call.

SMITHFIELD → PRETORIA

TPA / TPALC · Sat 18 Jul 2026 · 520 km

We called

1 450

m/min

Actual winner

1 473

m/min

23 m/min off (1.6%) · called before the birds flew

Only 20 of 587 birds beat the call.

What fanciers say

Real, named feedback from fanciers using the tool — posted with their permission.

“PigeonRaceAnalyser helps me tremendously. The race prediction makes preparing for the race ahead so much easier, and knowing when to expect the first birds gives me real peace of mind. In my opinion, it's the best thing that's happened to pigeon racing.”

— Jaco Faul, Gauteng, South Africa

“After a few chats with Morne and sharing our data from the Ellisras 360 OLR and our union (Central Limpopo), the app was updated — and straight away it was very accurate for both the OLR loft and the SLIM union. Adjusting for the Ellisras heat factor sharpened it even further. We look forward to using PigeonRaceAnalyser for the races ahead.”

— Richie Pieterse, Central Limpopo, South Africa

“A very handy app. It gives a really accurate idea of when to expect the race birds home. Congratulations — it's a WINNER!”

— Marius Klingbiel, Gauteng, South Africa

“PigeonRaceAnalyser has become an invaluable part of my race-day preparation. Being able to analyse the weather conditions along the entire race route and get a predicted arrival time at my own loft takes so much of the guesswork out of racing. It gives me a clear picture of the race ahead and helps me know when to expect the first birds. A fantastic tool for the modern pigeon fancier.”

— Smit Racing Lofts, South Africa

The names above are the ones happy to say it out loud. Plenty more use it quietly — it's a secretive sport, and nobody likes to hand a rival an edge. Fair enough; the results above speak for themselves.

Make the model call your race

Put in your liberation point and your loft, and see the winning velocity it predicts — for any union, anywhere. Free, no sign-up.

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